Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.922794 20.404269 23.111273 26.284685 29.904639 33.907356 38.672044
2024-10-27 14.294884 17.492574 21.242833 25.970190 31.777595 38.688787 47.553527
2024-11-03 12.123382 15.836376 20.486020 26.746711 34.975115 45.447584 59.832600
2024-11-10 10.517341 14.607066 20.053946 27.858852 38.793161 53.623989 75.367252
2024-11-17 8.931154 13.142254 19.086638 28.121325 41.569378 60.948417 91.183350
2024-11-24 7.337329 11.400934 17.460355 27.197476 42.547931 65.977878 104.765416
2024-12-01 6.062714 9.918928 15.975929 26.238755 43.328349 70.885699 119.171966
2024-12-08 5.189068 8.918114 15.073781 26.047174 45.306473 78.048524 138.652661
2024-12-15 4.547789 8.192482 14.501710 26.310116 48.108720 87.102469 163.201199
2024-12-22 3.966229 7.471300 13.819193 26.264339 50.373548 95.651842 188.617183
2024-12-29 3.605680 7.091493 13.686172 27.209648 54.663119 108.720723 225.342670
2025-01-05 3.208705 6.573897 13.209359 27.410369 57.552668 119.644414 260.088881
2025-01-12 2.759621 5.888899 12.319352 26.682470 58.560578 127.270629 290.262618
2025-01-19 2.420122 5.371981 11.685307 26.383833 60.452905 137.195873 327.901646
2025-01-26 2.216177 5.113478 11.558650 27.190130 65.007290 153.989818 385.533928
2025-02-02 2.058631 4.932093 11.573465 28.335446 70.619439 174.446595 457.096565
2025-02-09 1.863000 4.626139 11.249525 28.614109 74.205127 190.818437 522.336671
2025-02-16 1.625039 4.173861 10.497315 27.682711 74.544751 199.143024 568.260470
2025-02-23 1.419043 3.765298 9.782442 26.713466 74.604302 206.806060 614.428743
2025-03-02 1.276910 3.498342 9.384402 26.523873 76.790159 220.794680 682.761039
2025-03-09 1.171299 3.311191 9.165578 26.796214 80.375574 239.584272 770.698272
2025-03-16 1.065599 3.104574 8.857339 26.753158 83.038539 256.301381 856.616758
2025-03-23 1.006150 3.020880 8.882764 27.719435 89.037133 284.597427 988.460351